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Prepare, Don't Predict
I don’t know about you, but I can’t forecast geopolitics. That’s exactly why I fall back on…
Sentiment Ideas
26 posts
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Sentiment Ideas: US Dollar
The biggest sentiment reversal over the past year has been in FX — and specifically in the US Dollar.
The dollar…
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Sentiment Ideas: Consumer Discretionary
Deeply Unloved — But Is That Enough?
While much of the recent market conversation has focused on the rotation into Cyclicals,…
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Sentiment Ideas: Cyclicals, Room To Run
One of the clearest patterns in equity markets in recent months has been the rotation into economically sensitive stocks — Cyclicals.…
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Sentiment Ideas: Copper
Commodities have had a great run. At least some of them have.
This is a very bifurcated story. Gold (and…
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Sentiment Ideas: Commodities & Gold
Commodities have had a great run. At least some commodities have. It’s a bifurcated story.
Gold (and silver) and…
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Sentiment Ideas: Tech Vulnerabilities
Long Tech has been the trade of the past few years. It’s almost difficult to imagine a world where…
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Sentiment Ideas: Kiwi Dollar
The Kiwi has had a wild 2025. Lots of volatility, and yet it still ends up as one of the…
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Sentiment Ideas
Christmas markets are open, Outlook Season is in full swing and investors are busy implementing their 2026 views before liquidity…
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Sentiment Ideas
As the US gears up for Thanksgiving — and I attempt to bake a pumpkin pie — it feels like the perfect…
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Sentiment Ideas
Two sentiment stories this week. First: the Market fell and the VIX jumped, but not to levels that historically mark…